Date lodged: 1 November 2016
To ask the Scottish Government what estimates it has made of the potential impact of Brexit on farm exports and incomes.
Answered by: Fergus Ewing 10 November 2016
The Scottish Government recognises that uncertainty has been created as a result of the EU referendum outcome, including on exports, and farm incomes where EU funding is an important factor. That is why my Ministerial colleagues and I have all pressed the UK Government on various fronts following the EU referendum on the issue of continuity of funding for the vitally important industries that rely on EU funds. We now have guarantees for CAP Pillar 1 until 2020, and for CAP Pillar 2 funding agreements that are entered into in the period between now and the point that the UK proposes to leave the EU. Derek Mackay, the Cabinet Secretary for Finance and the Constitution has confirmed that these guarantees are being passed on in full to Scottish stakeholders on EU funding.
Further to this, the Scottish Government has commissioned the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) to undertake economic modelling on the potential impact of different trade and farm payment scenarios on Scottish agriculture. I expect findings will be available early next year and will add to the existing evidence base that includes a number of published studies on the impact of Brexit on UK farming sectors.